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López Obrador's party wins historic victory in Mexico's most populous state

President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's party confirmed on Sunday (4) that it is the new dominant party in Mexican politics after the electoral triumph in the populous State of Mexico, according to preliminary results, wresting a historic stronghold from the other hegemonic PRI.

According to the trend indicated after 88,1% of the quick count by the National Electoral Institute (INE), the candidate for governor of the ruling party Morena (National Regeneration Movement), Delfina Gómez, had a nine point advantage over her rival from the Revolutionary Party Institutional (PRI), Alejandra del Moral.

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After the numbers were released, Del Moral admitted defeat. “I recognize the triumph of professor Delfina Gómez,” he declared at his campaign headquarters.

The Morena party, which already governs 22 of the 32 Mexican states alone or in alliance, consolidates its leadership for the 2024 presidential elections with this result.

It also takes away from the once hegemonic PRI its largest electoral stronghold, which the party governed uninterruptedly for 94 years, since 1929.

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The PRI governed Mexico and all states in the country for seven decades of the 20th century.

“New PRI”

For political scientist Miguel Tovar, from the Alterpraxis consultancy, with the victory the Morena party achieves López Obrador's “dream” and becomes the new hegemonic party in Mexico.

“What we see in Morena is this need to have hegemonic power, to occupy each and every space (…) Morena, which is the new PRI, has grown like foam,” he told AFP.

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Delfina Gómez declared herself “very proud” of all the voters, as “they made the triumph possible.

The election in the State of Mexico, with 12,6 million registered voters, had a participation rate of 48%, according to preliminary estimates. The vote was considered by analysts to be a dress rehearsal for the presidential race in 2024.

The State of Mexico is one of the most violent in the country, with a high rate of homicides and disappearances in its poorest areas, a situation worsened by impunity and corruption among the authorities.

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In contrast, “Edomex” – as the state is known – is also home to large industries (Nestlé, Ford) and tourist attractions such as the pre-Hispanic ruins of Teotihuacan

With 17 million inhabitants and an economic weight equivalent to 9,1% of the national GDP, this “is a mini Mexican republic” fragmented between modern areas and other “deeply rural” areas, describes Tovar.

Election in Coahuila

Sunday was also marked by voting in the state of Coahuila (north), bordering the United States, where voters chose a new governor and 25 legislators for the local Parliament.

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Unlike the state of Mexico, Morena demonstrated weaknesses in Coahuila with a fierce dispute between the pre-candidates for government, a scenario that led Ricardo Mejía, López Obrador's former Undersecretary of Security, to break the government alliance and present an independent candidacy .

The division hurt the Morenista candidate Armando Guadiana, who was relegated to a distant second place against the PRI candidate, Manolo Jiménez, who led with 57% of the votes and an advantage of almost 35 points over his opponent, according to the quick count. from INE.

The PRI thus maintains historical dominance in the state, which it has governed since 1929.

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