Amazon deforestation
Image credits: AFP

Bolsonaro's re-election could further worsen deforestation in the Amazon, experts say

A calculation made at the request of Folha de S.Paulo by a group of researchers estimates that, if President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) is re-elected, deforestation in the Amazon could reach more than 27 thousand km² in 2026, reaching the worst levels ever observed since the beginning of monitoring. The projection takes into account linear growth, with the same rate observed in the last 3 years.

According to a the report from FSP🚥, the group of experts – led by Gilberto Câmara, former director of the National Institute for Space Research (Inpe) – predicts that devastation in the forest could surpass the 20 thousand km² barrier as early as 2024.

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Among the causes of the growing increase in deforestation, Câmara pointed out, in a technical note in format preprint, still without review by other scientists: “The Bolsonaro government dismantled the main environmental inspection bodies, reduced Inpe's budget to 20% of what the institute received in 2010, in addition to dismissing its director [Ricardo Galvão, in 2019]. Compliance with the provisions of the Forest Code has been postponed.”

In addition to the numerical prediction, scientists estimated a spatial distribution of this deforestation, that is, in which areas it should occur. Look:

inpe
inpe

According to the report, the simulation is not intended to make a prediction, but rather to support public policies, indicating what needs to be done for each region of the largest tropical forest in the world.

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