97% of Bolsonarists believe in victory; lulistas are 89%, says PoderData

By João Caminoto / 06/10/2022 / 1 minute reading

This Thursday (6), results from the PoderData survey showed that voters who intend to vote for Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the second round are more certain of the candidate's victory than those who support candidate Lula, from the PT. Currently, according to PoderData, 52% of valid votes would go to Lula and 48% would go to Bolsonaro on October 30th.

The new PoderData survey also reveals that in the Brazilian electorate as a whole, 87% say they are sure of how they will vote – the rate includes those who intend to vote blank or cancel their vote.

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Among all voters interviewed, 93% said they trust that your preferred candidate will win the election.

Latest polls for Presidency: Datafolha shows Lula with 52% and Bolsonaro, 48% in valid votes

electronic voting machine

Follow the most recent polls of voting intentions, registered with the TSE and published from 15/08.

Bolsonaro's campaign moving forward

The research results reveal that President Bolsonaro gains momentum at the start of the campaign for the second round:

“Even with a percentage below Lula's in the 1st round, Bolsonaro's voters are more engaged, more certain of their vote, more confident of victory. Part of the president's strategy will be to ride this euphoria before the 2nd round of elections. In this sense, the first days were good for Planalto, with symbolic gestures such as the support of governors – including the 3 largest electoral colleges.”

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Read more in the original text of Power360º which publicizes the research: Bolsonaristas are more sure of their vote and are confident of victory.

Why can you trust electoral polls?

Why can you trust electoral polls?

Voting intention surveys are the focus of internet haters and targets of viral disinformation campaigns on social media. From the 6th of August until the 16th, data from Agência Pública showed that the majority of posts with the term “electoral research” – on the four major social networks – disseminated false information, manipulated results and conspiracy theories, discrediting research institutes. traditional. To avoid falling for fake news, we list what you need to know about the research. Understand concepts such as sampling, margin of error, level of confidence and the role of these surveys in the electoral game.

About the Author

João Caminoto

Journalist with more than 30 years of experience, I held various positions - from reporter to international correspondent to editorial director - in several publications, such as Estadão, Broadcast, Época, BBC, Veja and Folha. I feel privileged to have embraced this profession. I am in love with my family and Corinthians.