October 29
Datafolha
ipec
Lula (PT) leads with 54% of voting intentions. Jair Bolsonaro (PL) has 46%, in valid votes. The survey shows a difference of 8 percentage points between the two candidates.
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4.272 people were interviewed in 236 municipalities between Thursday (27) and Saturday (29). The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus, with a confidence level of 95%. The research was registered in the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) with number BR-05256/12.
Genial/Quaest
Lula (PT) remains ahead of the presidential race with 52%, followed by Bolsonaro with 48%, in valid votes.
In total votes, Lula appears with 46% of voting intentions. President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), candidate for re-election, has 43%. Votes for blank, null or voters who will not vote total 6% and undecided votes, 5%. Lula fluctuated 2 percentage points downwards and Bolsonaro fluctuated one percentage point upwards compared to the previous survey, released on the 26th.
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The survey interviewed 2 thousand voters between the 28th and 29th of October. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points, considering a 95% confidence level. The survey was registered with the Electoral Court and filed under number. BR-05765/2022.
October 27
Atlas
Search Altas shows the leadership of Lula (PT) with 53,2% of voting intentions. Jair Bolsonaro (PL) has 46,8%. The survey was carried out with 7.500 interviews via random digital recruitment between October 21st and 25th; margin of error is plus or minus 1 percentage point.
October 26
October 24
October 20
October 19
PowerDate
In total, 5 thousand people were interviewed and the survey's margin of error is 1,5 percentage points, up or down. Considering the total number of voters, the PT member has 48% of voting intentions, and the current head of the Executive, 44%. 5% of voters intend to vote blank or invalid, and 3% indicated they did not know.
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Research PowerDate published today shows former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 52% of valid voting intentions against 48% for President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), in the 2nd round of the elections for the Presidency of the Republic. The survey, carried out from October 16th to 18th, points to stabilization of results in the last two weeks.
According to the survey, Lula leads in the Northeast, with 65% of valid votes, compared to 35% for Bolsonaro. The current president has 55% of the valid votes against 45% for Lula among voters in the South. There is a technical tie in the Catholic electorate: Lula 51% x 49% Bolsonaro. Among evangelicals, the president has 62% against 38% for the PT member, in valid votes.
The survey was registered by TSE under protocol BR-08917/2022.
Genial/Quaest
In the Genial/Quaest survey, also released today, Lula has 47% and Bolsonaro (42%) of the total votes recorded in the survey. The margin of error is estimated at plus or minus two percentage points. In relation to the previous survey, the PT member fluctuated two points down and the current president rose one point. The difference between the two candidates fell from 8 to 5 points.
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In the calculation of valid votes, excluding blank and null votes, Lula appears with 53%, against 47% for Bolsonaro. In the previous survey, the score was 54% to 46% in favor of the PT member.
The research was registered with the TSE under number BR-04387/2022
October 17
October 12
PowerDate
results of PoderData research released this Wednesday (12) show Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 52% of valid voting intentions against 48% for Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the 2nd round race for the Presidency of the Republic. The rates disregard blank or invalid votes declared by the 5.000 respondents between October 9rd and 11th.
The two candidates maintained the same percentage of valid votes as in the previous round, held between October 3 and 5, which indicates a stable situation. The margin of error is 1,5 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval. Registration with the TSE is BR-09241/2022.
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In the analysis by region, the PL candidate opened an 18-point lead among voters in the Sul, with 59% of voting intentions against 41% for Lula. The fees in the Southeast they show a technical draw between Bolsonaro (51%) and Lula (49%), a region where, according to experts, the Minas Gerais electoral college should be decisive.
October 7
October 6
October 5
October 1st
ipec
Datafolha
September 29
September 28
September 26
September 19
ipec
BTG/FSB
September 14
September 12
BTG/FSB
Research BTG/FSB on the presidential dispute released this Monday (12) shows former president Lula (PT) with 41% of voting intentions, followed by president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) with 35%.
In the previous survey, carried out on September 5th, Lula had 42% and Bolsonaro 34%.
Candidate Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Simone Tebet (MDB) tied within the margin of error.
The survey interviewed 2 voters by telephone between the 9th and 11th of September and was contracted by the bank BTG Pactual. A margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus. Registration with the Electoral Court is BR-06321/2022.
September 9
Datafolha
Research Datafolha about the presidential dispute released this Friday (9) shows the former president Squid (PT) with 45% of voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election, followed by the current president, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), with 34%.
In the previous survey, carried out on September 1st, Lula had the same 45% and Bolsonaro, 32%.
Ciro Gomes (PDT) fluctuated negatively from 9% to 7%, and Simone Tebet (MDB) remained stable at 5%. So both are now technically tied.
Datafolha interviewed 2.676 people in 191 cities, in work commissioned by Folha de S.Paulo and TV Globo. The research is registered under the number BR-07422/2022 at the Superior Electoral Court.
September 7
PowerDate
Research PowerDate on the presidential elections released this Wednesday (7) brings former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in the lead in the first round with 43% of voting intentions, followed by Jair Bolsonaro (PL) with 37%.
The research was published commissioned by the website Power360 . O resultado é semelhante ao da pesquisa anterior, com variação de um ponto para baixo, no caso de Lula, e de um ponto para cima, para Bolsonaro.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third place in the dispute with 8%, followed by Simone Tebet (MDB) who presented 5%.
Blank and null votes were 3%, they don't know who to vote for 2%.
Search details
PoderData interviewed 3.500 voters between the 4th and 6th of September. The margin of error is 2 points, plus or minus. The survey was registered with the TSE under number BR-03760/2022.
Genial/Quaest
The Genial/Quaest survey shows former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in the lead in the electoral race, with 44% of voting intentions for the first round of elections. Second place, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), appears with 34%. While Lula remained stable in relation to the company's last survey, the Chief Executive fluctuated 2 percentage points upwards.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
3rd place, Ciro Gomes (PDT), dropped 1 point and has 7% of voting intentions. Simone Tebet (MDB) rose 1 point, reaching 4%.
Voters who declared a blank or invalid vote accounted for 5% and those who have not yet chosen a candidate account for 4%, according to the survey.
Search details
The survey interviewed 2.000 voters between the 1st and 4th of September. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus. The survey was registered with the TSE under number BR-00807/2022.
September 05
Globo/Ipec
Released this Monday (5), the survey commissioned by TV Globo and carried out by Ipec shows PT member Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has 44% of voting intentions, followed by president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) with 31%. In the last survey carried out by Ipec at the end of August, Lula had the same percentage, while Bolsonaro had 32%.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Ciro Gomes (PDT) remains in third place in the electorate's preference, with 8% of intentions. Simon Tebet (MDB) has 4%. Both fluctuated one point higher in relation to the previous Ipec survey. Felipe D'avila (New) and Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil) are tied with 1% each. Blanks and nulls make up 6% and those who don't know or didn't want to answer make up 5%.
Search details
IPEC interviewed 2.512 voters between September 02nd and September 04th. The survey was registered with the TSE under number BR-00922/2022.
FSB/BTG
Released this Monday (5), the survey commissioned by Banco BTG and carried out by the FSB Institute shows that former president Lula (PT) remains in the lead with 42% of voting intentions. President Jair Bolsonaro got 34%. In relation to the previous survey, on August 29, Lula fluctuated one point below 43%, and Bolsonaro fluctuated two points, as he had 36%.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Ciro Gomes (PDT) went to 8%, previously he was at 9%. Simone Tebet (MDB) registered 6% more than the previous 4%. Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil), Vera Lúcia (PSTU) and Pablo Marçal (PROS) scored 1%, while the other candidates did not score. 16% were blank and null, or did not know how to answer.
Search details
The FSB interviewed 2 thousand people between September 02nd and September 04th. The survey was registered with the TSE under number BR-01786/2022.
September 01
Datafolha
The survey shows former president Lula (PT) with 45% of voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election, followed by the current president, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), with 32%.
In relation to the previous survey (August 18), Lula fluctuated two points down (from 47% to 45%) and Bolsonaro remained stable (32%).
This is the first Datafolha after the start of free electoral hours and after the debate between candidates on Band TV (Folha de S.Paulo, TV Cultura and UOL).
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Ciro Gomes (PDT) increased two points (7 to 9%) and Simone Tebet increased three percentage points (2 to 5%). The MDB candidate was the only presidential candidate to fluctuate beyond the margin of error of two percentage points plus or minus.
the votes white, null or no candidate, totaled 4% (it was 6% in the previous survey). You don't know who to vote for, 2%, the same percentage measured in the last survey.
Search details
Datafolha interviewed 5.734 people in 285 municipalities between August 30th and September 1st. The survey was registered with the TSE under number BR-00433/2022
Ciro Gomes from PDT (9%) and Simone Tebet from MDB (5%) fluctuated upwards.
31 August
Genius/Quest
Former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) appears ahead of president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the first round dispute, with 44% and 32% respectively.
The top two placed have fluctuated one point since the last Genial/Quaest survey, so the scenario is one of stability. This is the first Genial/Quaest survey after the presidential candidates' hearings on Jornal Nacional, on TV Globo.
Still according to the survey, Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third place in voting intentions, with 8%, followed by Simone Tebet (MDB), with 3%.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Vera Lúcia (PSTU) and Felipe D'Ávila (Novo) added 1%. The other presidential candidates did not score.
Those undecided totaled 6%. Blank and invalid votes were 5%.
Search details
The Genial/Quaest survey heard 2 thousand between the 25th and 28th of August. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus.
The survey is registered with the Electoral Court: BR-00585/2022
29 August
Globo/Ipec
Commissioned by TV Globo, the Ipec survey released this Monday (29) shows former president Lula (PT) leading the electorate's preference with 44% of voting intentions for the first round. The candidate for re-election, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), remains in second place, with 32%.
The first two placed in the survey have exactly the same index presented in the last survey carried out by Ipec, on August 15th.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Ciro Gomes (PDT) remains in third place in voting intentions, with 7%. Simone Tebet (MDB) comes next with 3%, and Felipe d'Avila (Novo) appears with 1%.
Blank and invalid votes total 7%. Don't know who to vote for or didn't respond to the questionare 6%.
Search details
The survey interviewed 2.000 people between August 26th and 28th in 128 municipalities.
The margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points.
The research is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE): BR-01979/2022.
FSB/BTG
The difference between President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) fluctuated by 2 points downwards – at the limit of the margin of error – in relation to the last survey carried out by the FSB Institute. Squid have now 43%. Bolsonaro keeps 36%.
On August 22, Lula had 45% of voting intentions and Bolsonaro already had 36% of the electorate's preference.
The nine-point difference between the candidates now drops to seven.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Candidate Ciro Gomes (PDT) remains in third place (9%) and showed an upward fluctuation of 3 percentage points. Simone Tebet (MDB) also fluctuated in the electorate's preference, according to the survey, from 3% to 4%.
Other candidates in the dispute also scored: Vera Lúcia (PSTU) had 1% and Felipe D'ávila (NOVO) also (1%).
3% of those interviewed did not know how to answer, and 4% said they would vote blank, null or none of the candidates.
Search details
The survey was carried out between August 26th and 28th, 2022, with 1.500 people by telephone.
The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
The research is registered with the Court Electoral : BR-08934/2022
24 August
Idea/Exam
The president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) rose 3 percentage points compared to the last survey, reaching 36%. The growth reduces his difference with the first place in the electorate's preference, former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT).
Former president Lula remains stable, with 44% of voting intentions.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Candidate Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third place with 9% of voting intentions, and Simone Tebet (MDB) follows with 4%. The two competitors maintained their preference percentages from the July Exame/Idea Survey.
The other candidates in the dispute also scored: Vera Lúcia (PSTU) had 1% and Felipe D'ávila (NOVO) also (1%).
3% of those interviewed did not know how to answer, and 2% said they would vote blank, null or none of the candidates.
Search details
Ideia heard 1.500 people over the phone between August 19 and 24, following interviews carried out by Jornal Nacional with candidates Jair Bolsonaro and Ciro Gomes.
The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The research is registered with the Court Electoral : BR-02405/2022.
18 August
Datafolha
Former president Lula leads the electorate's preference with 47% of voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election, followed by current president Jair Bolsonaro, with 32%.
Lula maintained the percentage presented in the last survey, carried out in the last week of July, which still had the names of André Janones (Avante) and Luciano Bivar (União Brasil). Bolsonaro advanced 3 points compared to the last survey.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third place with 7%, followed by Simone Tebet (MDB), with 2%, and Vera (PSTU), 1%.
Pablo Marçal (PROS), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Felipe d'Ávila (NOVO), Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil), Eymael (Christian Democracy), Léo Péricles (UP) and Roberto Jefferson (PTB) did not score.
Blank, null or “none” votes for the candidates totaled 6%. They don't know, it's 2%.
Search details
The Datafolha survey was commissioned by TV Globo in partnership with the newspaper FSP and heard from 5.744 people in 281 municipalities, from Tuesday (16) to this Thursday (18)
The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
The survey is registered with the Electoral Court: BR-09404/2022
17 August
Genial/Quaest
Former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) appears ahead of president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the first round dispute, with 45% to 33%.
The scenario involves ten applications. Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third place, with 6%, followed by Simone Tebet (MDB), with 3%.
In the simulation carried out for the second round, Lula would win with 51% of the votes, against 38% for the current president.
Too many candidates, white, null and undecided
Vera Lúcia (PSTU), Felipe D'Ávila (Novo), Eymael (Christian Democracy), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil) and Leonardo Péricles (Unidade Popular) did not score in the Quaest survey.
Undecided voters totaled 6%, blank or invalid votes were 6%.
Search details
The Genial/Quaest survey interviewed 2 people over the age of 16 between the 11th and 14th of August. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus.
The research is registered with the Electoral Court: BR-01167/2022. You can consult all searches registered in the Superior Electoral Court website
Quaest's research is financed by digital investment brokerage Genial Investimentos, controlled by Genial bank.
15 August
Globo/Ipec
PT member Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the race in the first round with 44% of voting intentions, followed by Jair Bolsonaro (PL), with 32%.
Next comes Ciro Gomes (PDT), with 6%, and Simone Tebet (MDB), with 2%.
Too many candidates, null and undecided whites
Vera Lúcia (PSTU) appeared in this survey with 1% of voting intentions. The other candidates did not score.
Blank and invalid votes totaled 8% of those interviewed, and 7% did not know or did not want to answer the survey.
Search details
The survey interviewed 2.000 people in person between August 12th and 14th. The margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points.
The research was registered with the Electoral Court under the protocol BR-03980/2022.
BTG/FSB
Former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leads with 45% of voting intentions in the 1st round, against 34% for current president Jair Bolsonaro (PL).
While the PT member grew 4 percentage points since the last survey, a week ago, the head of the Executive maintained the score recorded in the last survey.
Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third place in the dispute (8%), followed by Simone Tebet (MDB) who has 2% of voting intentions.
Too many candidates, null and undecided whites
Pablo Marçal (Pros), José Maria Eymael (DC), Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil), Felipe D’Ávila (Novo), Vera Lúcia (PSTU), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Leonardo Péricles (UP) e Roberto Jefferson (PTB) não pontuaram.
Undecided people make up 2%, white people and null people make up 1% and undecided people make up 5%.
Search details
2.000 interviews were carried out from August 12 to 14, 2022.
The survey is registered in the TSE with number BR-00603/2022.
The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points, within a 95% confidence interval.
