PoderData survey shows Lula with 52% and Bolsonaro with 48% of valid votes

The PoderData survey, carried out from October 3 to 5, shows candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 52% of voting intentions against 48% for Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the 2nd round of the elections. The score refers to valid votes, excluding blank and null votes. It is the smallest difference detected by the research, carried out by the website Poder360, in the direct confrontation between the two candidates.

According to PoderData, the distance indicates a minimum advantage for the PT member, with no technical tie, since “the survey with 3.500 interviews has a 1,8 percentage point margin of error”. When considering the total number of votes, Lula has 48% against Bolsonaro's 44%. 6% say they intend to vote blank or cancel their vote and 2% say they don't know.

Latest polls for Presidency: Datafolha shows Lula with 52% and Bolsonaro, 48% in valid votes

Follow the most recent polls of voting intentions, registered with the TSE and published from 15/08.

The research is registered under the number BR-08253/2022 at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE)

Why can you trust electoral polls?

Voting intention surveys are the focus of internet haters and targets of viral disinformation campaigns on social media. From the 6th of August until the 16th, data from Agência Pública showed that the majority of posts with the term “electoral research” – on the four major social networks – disseminated false information, manipulated results and conspiracy theories, discrediting research institutes. traditional. To avoid falling for fake news, we list what you need to know about the research. Understand concepts such as sampling, margin of error, level of confidence and the role of these surveys in the electoral game.